Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 14.025399 15.815966 17.806219 20.193081 22.991732 26.186107 30.132191
2025-10-05 12.817027 15.431478 18.588617 22.727711 28.079582 34.861903 44.263752
2025-10-12 11.545758 14.506918 18.284146 23.545902 30.833169 40.797453 55.867249
2025-10-19 10.114347 13.108383 17.084223 22.880115 31.340808 43.621293 63.551214
2025-10-26 9.460791 12.621452 16.980573 23.618069 33.818390 49.533433 76.951591
2025-11-02 8.629462 11.777665 16.252001 23.308062 34.617873 52.932271 86.930797
2025-11-09 7.910845 11.011902 15.536073 22.894890 35.142949 55.897380 96.718279
2025-11-16 7.336386 10.397541 14.971959 22.629112 35.833281 59.199044 107.823534
2025-11-23 6.759350 9.726096 14.250530 22.012411 35.814432 61.187233 116.730488
2025-11-30 6.356702 9.287067 13.848680 21.872679 36.599210 64.771647 129.861528
2025-12-07 5.838126 8.626492 13.034044 20.934440 35.786850 65.084795 135.698091
2025-12-14 5.339635 7.964460 12.166825 19.819445 34.501610 64.232860 138.567207
2025-12-21 4.972501 7.504471 11.623562 19.275634 34.341530 65.895680 148.659317
2025-12-28 5.137574 7.928288 12.609043 21.645536 40.360489 82.278466 203.547858
2026-01-04 5.021260 7.868221 12.745080 22.416886 43.180557 92.007171 244.018023
2026-01-11 4.706708 7.445851 12.200250 21.790364 42.855183 93.972213 261.018038
2026-01-18 4.605475 7.386902 12.308149 22.484658 45.608324 104.436324 311.551668
2026-01-25 4.379896 7.092672 11.957015 22.193035 46.018403 108.729562 341.988541
2026-02-01 4.160039 6.795225 11.578061 21.804276 46.139923 112.256647 371.360041
2026-02-08 3.973972 6.548045 11.277413 21.554147 46.570282 116.800875 407.606791
2026-02-15 3.762759 6.242998 10.844501 20.973590 46.084580 118.489439 432.314736
2026-02-22 3.617347 6.051946 10.622208 20.842014 46.750697 123.966150 478.496450
2026-03-01 3.399325 5.714067 10.088420 19.958220 45.302466 122.294920 487.999469